The Five Most Misplayed Hands in Blackjack with Blackjack Expert Henry TamburinBy Erik Torres
December 14, 2018
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In this video blackjack expert, Henry Tamburin, who is the publisher of the Blackjack Insider newsletter, as well as the author of seven books on casino gambling, gives details on the five most misplayed hands in a game of blackjack?
And now here’s Henry Tamburin, The number five most misplayed hand in blackjack, is a pair of nines against a nine. It seems logical to split nines when the dealer has a small card, but most players have a hard time understanding why they should split nines against a dealer. Nine, if you have an 18 and the dealer, has a nine upcard you’re gon na win 8 out of 20 hands.
If, instead, you split those nines, each of those nines are gon na win nine-and-a-half hands on average for every 20 hands, so you’re gon na win. One and a half more times when you split your own nines against the dealer, nine, rather than standing. So when you’ve got that pair of nines against a nine, you should always split them. The number four most misplayed hand in blackjack is when you’re dealt a 12 and the dealer shows a 3 There’s a rule in blackjack when you have a stiff hand and the dealer has a weak up card in general, you shouldn’t hit, you should stand, but in The case of a 12 against the three: you really have to take a look at the percentages.
If you look at your 12, there are only four cards that could bust you and that’s the 10, the jack the Queen and the king.
There are a total of five cards that will get you into the 17 to 21 safe zone, so there are more cards that will get you into a safe 17 to 21 than will bust you. The other reason why you should hit your12 against the three. Is that the three is not such a weak card for a dealer, as you would expect, If you compare the chance of a dealer busting with a 3 up card compared to 4, 5 or 6, he’s got less chance of busting with a 3. So, therefore, when you have a 12 against a three, your best percentage play is to always hit that hand.
The number three most misplayed hand in blackjack is a 16 against a dealers 10 and there’s no question that when you’re dealt a 16 and the dealer has a 10 that that is really a bad hand. No matter what you do, you’re in a losing situation, but the most cost-effective play that you can make with that hand, assuming you don’t have a pair of 8s, now we’re only talking about hard 16 against the dealer time. Your most cost-effective play is to surrender when you surrender your hard 16 you’re gon na lose 50 percent of your bet.
Now, why would you give up fifty percent of your money without a fight?
Most players really don’t like to surrender because they feel that you know you’re waving the white flag and you just given in half your money to the casino. Well, the fact of the matter is: if you don’t surrender, then the other playing options. The probability of you losing is going to be slightly greater than 50 percent, so obviously it’s much better to lose fifty percent of your money by surrendering versus standing or hitting and losing slightly more than fifty percent, so the best play to make with the hard 16 Against the ten is to surrender now what, if the casino doesn’t offer the surrender rule now, your fallback position is to hit your 16.
You lose slightly less compared to standing, but there’s one exception to that rule, and that is if you’re 16 consists of three or more cards. For example, suppose you’re dealt a 7 a 5 and a 4. You have a hard 16, but you’ve got three cards and you’ve got some small cards in that hand, because you’ve got some small cards. The odds shift slightly from hitting that hand to standing.
Because you’ve removed some of those small cards from the deck and if you were to hit that hand the fact that you removed some of the small cards that you would like to have, that fact shifts the odds slightly from hitting to standing. So the bottom line, with the hard 16 against the ten is you should always surrender. If that’s all not available, then you should hit, and if you have a three-card, three or more card 16, then you should always stand. The number two most misplayed hand in blackjack is a soft 18 against the dealer’s, nine or 10.
Most players believe that when they have an eighteen, that’s a strong hand and they shouldn’t mess with it. They should always stand Well.
Think about this. If the casino gave you an 18 on every one of your hands for the rest of your life, you would die a loser in blackjack, an 18 as just not good enough. So when you have a soft 18, that’s an eighteen with an ace counted as an 11 you have an out and that out is to hit.
So if we look at some percentages with a soft 18 just against the dealers, 9 I’ll show you what I mean.
If you stand on that soft 18 against the dealers, 9 you’re gon na win 8 out of twenty hands, if instead, you hit the soft 18 until you either get the soft nineteen hard 17 or you bust, you’re gon na win 9 out of twenty hands. So you’re gon na win one more hand out of every 20 when you hit soft 18 against the nine versus standing. So the best play when you have a soft 18 and the dealer shows a 9 or a 10 is you should always take a hit. The number one misplayed hand in blackjack is when you’re dealt a pair of eights against a dealer 10. I see this hand misplayed more often than all other hands.
Because a player feels that the dealer has a strong up card, they’re already in a losing situation when they have a pair of eights and now they’re afraid to split them, because they’re afraid they’re gon na lose to bets instead of one. And it’s true that the 16 against 10 is the worst hand you could have in blackjack you’re only gon na win 23 percent of the time. However, when your 16 consists of a pair of eights, you have an out, and that out is to split the eights, because when you split the eights you’re starting a hand with an 8 and your chance of winning, when you start with an 8 against the dealers, 10 is 38 %, so you’re increasing your chances of winning from 23 percent up to 38 percent.
Therefore, you should always split your eights against the dealers.
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